Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$17m Vol.
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
12%
$46k Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
43%
$1m Vol.
US strikes Iran by...?
January 16
31%
January 23
44%
January 31
54%
March 31
66%
June 30
73%
$13m Vol.
North Carolina Central Eagles
69%
Morgan State Bears
32%
North
Morgan
H1 - 13:11
Jazz
19%
Cavaliers
82%
$2m Vol.
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
30%
Norfolk State Spartans
70%
Maryland
Norfolk
Kraken
Rangers
56%
Hurricanes
57%
Red Wings
Texans
59%
Steelers
42%
$3m Vol.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
18%
$7m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
33%
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Seattle
23%
Los Angeles R
21%
Buffalo
15%
New England
13%
Denver
10%
$670m Vol.
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
7%
May 14
$215k Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets January 6 - January 13, 2026?
500-519
<1%
520-539
6%
540-559
560-579
40%
580+
25%
$12m Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
António José Seguro (IND)
João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
22%
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
8%
André Ventura (CH)
$99m Vol.
US strike on Mexico by...?
3%
9%
December 31
$913k Vol.
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
29%
$238k Vol.
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
27%
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Warsh
Christopher Waller
Rick Rieder
5%
Judy Shelton
2%
$173m Vol.
US next strikes Iran on...?
January 13
January 14
14%
January 15
January 17
No strike by January 31
$21k Vol.
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
77%
$324k Vol.
Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price
>$4m
99%
>$5m
98%
>$6m
95%
>$7m
90%
>$8m
76%
$4m Vol.
Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease
No change
93%
25+ bps increase
$286m Vol.
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